亚洲金融危机以来中国合成橡胶工业的发展

鲍爱华　 吴棣华　

摘　要：分析了亚洲金融危机以来中国SR产量及消耗量的变化情况，论述了目前中国SR主要品种的生产能力及新建、扩建能力，预测了2000～2010年中国SR的需求情况。受NR降价及进口橡胶的冲击，1998年中国SR总产量约59.4万t，比1997年下降约1.7％；橡胶总消耗量与上年基本持平；随着新建与扩建装置的相继投产，SR生产能力有较大增长；1999年中国橡胶需求量将比1998年增长约4％，SR将有较强的增长势头，但世界SR总的发展形势是生产能力过剩，需求增长缓慢，未来市场竞争将更加激烈。
关键词：SR；产量；需求量
分类号：TQ330．34　文献标识码：A
文章编号：1000-890X(2000)02-0080-05

Progress of China's synthetic rubber industry since Asian financial crisis

BAO Ai-hua
(Information Centre, Chinese Petro-chemical Group Co., Beijing 100012)
WU Di-hua
(Technical Development Centre, Chinese Petro-chemical Group Co.,Beijing 100029)

Abstract：The changes of SR production and consumption in China since Asian financial crisis were analysed; the production capacity of main types of SRs and the newly-built and expanded capacity were described; and the requirement for SR in 2000～2010 was predicted. The total SR productiots in China was decreased in 1998 by 1.7% to 594 000 t when compared to that in previous year because of the lower price of NR and the impact of imported SR;the total SR consumption was basically the same as that in previous year; the SR production capacity increased significantly as the newly-built and expanded plants put on the stream one after another; the requirement for rubber in China would be 4% more in 1999 than that in 1998 and the requirement for SR would increase more rapidly, but the compitition would be more strong in SR market because of the overcapacity and the slower increase of requirement in the world.
Keywords：SR; production; requirement